Friday, July 6, 2012

Nate Silver's 538 blog predictions

Nate Silver is an uncannily accurate political statistician. He shows Obama winning the electoral vote as does the Huffington Post. Gallup also shows the president with a 4 point advantage today, but the electoral vote is what wins an election.

Obama also has a significant lead in the chance of winning, actually higher than the percentages in the Intrade Predictive Markets.

FL is almost too close to call when you look at the states:

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