16/02/2010
A global ranking, revealing the countries most at risk from terrorist attacks, has rated Iraq as the most dangerous country for the second year running, while Thailand has slipped into the extreme risk category for the first time.
The Terrorism Risk Index (TRI) has been developed by Maplecroft for companies to assess terrorism risks to their international assets. The index measures not only the risks of an attack, but also the chances of mass casualties occurring.
Iraq (1), Afghanistan (2), Pakistan (3) and Somalia (4) top the ranking of 196 countries and are rated, along with Lebanon (5), India (6), Algeria (7), Colombia (8) and Thailand (9), as the only extreme risk nations.
To provide a comprehensive picture of worldwide terrorism risk Maplecroft analyses terrorist incidents every six months for their frequency, intensity and number of victims, plus the proportion of attacks that were 'mass-casualty' in each nation. A country's historical experience of terrorism was also factored in along with threats made against it by groups such as al-Qaeda.
According to the TRI, even though the terrorist situation in Iraq has improved, the frequency, scale and human impact of attacks still makes it the most extreme risk country for terrorism, with nearly 4,500 civilians killed in 2009.
Ranked 11th in last year's Terrorism Risk Index, Thailand has now dropped two places in the ranking and into the extreme risk category. Terrorism incidents in Thailand's restive Muslim south - such as the October 2009 bomb attacks in Sungai Kolok - largely account for the country's rating.
The Philippines (10), Turkey (14), Russia (15), Nigeria (24) and Spain (34) all rate as high risk countries, while the UK (41), China (43), USA (46) and France (56) are considered medium risk. Countries rated at low risk include Germany (81), Canada (116) and Australia (120).
“Media coverage can often skew public perceptions of terrorism risk in a country by publicising mass-casualty attacks. However, smaller terrorist incidents often go unreported, despite having potential to disrupt business operations and supply chains.
The Terrorism Risk Index and the Localised Terrorism Intensity Map have been developed to bridge this knowledge divide and give organisations the intelligence they need to help manage terrorism risks. – Eva Molyneux, a Political Analyst at Maplecroft.
Rightardia thinks this study is accurate. Terrorism has always been overrated in the US and George W. Bush spent billions nationalizing airport security which is now the Transportation Security Agency. The terrorist threat to the US is medium, but a successful terrorist attack would have huge political repercussions.
The GOP would shed crocodile tears and privately express shadenfreude, and then push for a big increase in the defense budget to take out terrorists in some third world hell hole like Yemen.
Source: http://www.maplecroft.com/about/news/terrorism_risk_index_feb_10.html
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A global ranking, revealing the countries most at risk from terrorist attacks, has rated Iraq as the most dangerous country for the second year running, while Thailand has slipped into the extreme risk category for the first time.
The Terrorism Risk Index (TRI) has been developed by Maplecroft for companies to assess terrorism risks to their international assets. The index measures not only the risks of an attack, but also the chances of mass casualties occurring.
Iraq (1), Afghanistan (2), Pakistan (3) and Somalia (4) top the ranking of 196 countries and are rated, along with Lebanon (5), India (6), Algeria (7), Colombia (8) and Thailand (9), as the only extreme risk nations.
Localised Terrorism Intensity Index
Legend
Extreme Extreme risk Extreme High risk
Extreme Medium risk Extreme Low risk
© Maplecroft 2010
Legend
Extreme Extreme risk Extreme High risk
Extreme Medium risk Extreme Low risk
© Maplecroft 2010
To provide a comprehensive picture of worldwide terrorism risk Maplecroft analyses terrorist incidents every six months for their frequency, intensity and number of victims, plus the proportion of attacks that were 'mass-casualty' in each nation. A country's historical experience of terrorism was also factored in along with threats made against it by groups such as al-Qaeda.
According to the TRI, even though the terrorist situation in Iraq has improved, the frequency, scale and human impact of attacks still makes it the most extreme risk country for terrorism, with nearly 4,500 civilians killed in 2009.
Ranked 11th in last year's Terrorism Risk Index, Thailand has now dropped two places in the ranking and into the extreme risk category. Terrorism incidents in Thailand's restive Muslim south - such as the October 2009 bomb attacks in Sungai Kolok - largely account for the country's rating.
The Philippines (10), Turkey (14), Russia (15), Nigeria (24) and Spain (34) all rate as high risk countries, while the UK (41), China (43), USA (46) and France (56) are considered medium risk. Countries rated at low risk include Germany (81), Canada (116) and Australia (120).
“Media coverage can often skew public perceptions of terrorism risk in a country by publicising mass-casualty attacks. However, smaller terrorist incidents often go unreported, despite having potential to disrupt business operations and supply chains.
The Terrorism Risk Index and the Localised Terrorism Intensity Map have been developed to bridge this knowledge divide and give organisations the intelligence they need to help manage terrorism risks. – Eva Molyneux, a Political Analyst at Maplecroft.
Rightardia thinks this study is accurate. Terrorism has always been overrated in the US and George W. Bush spent billions nationalizing airport security which is now the Transportation Security Agency. The terrorist threat to the US is medium, but a successful terrorist attack would have huge political repercussions.
Source: http://www.maplecroft.com/about/news/terrorism_risk_index_feb_10.html
Subscribe to the Rightardia feed: feeds.feedburner.com/blogspot/IGiu
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