- Republican incumbents’ job approval has eroded from a 15-point lead (39 – 24 percent) in March of 2011 to even (36-36 percent) today.
- A majority of voters (50-40 percent) say they cannot vote to re-elect their incumbent House Republican.
- Republicans have lost their advantage with seniors and now are nearly tied with Democrats among seniors in the generic Congressional ballot (45 – 47%). According to 2010 exit poling, Republicans won seniors by 21 points (38 – 59 percent).
- In these top-tier districts of vulnerable Republicans, voters think Democrats will do a better job on health care and on Medicare than Republicans by 11 points (50 – 39 percent).
- Voters believe Democratic challengers are more likely to be on their side (46 – 39 percent) and bring the right kind of change (48 - 40 percent).
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