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Wednesday, July 14, 2010

David Korn: Sarah Palin in 2012? Don't Bet on Her


That's probably the question I hear most from non-politicos. And members of the politerati are constantly considering it -- as they pine for a Palin presidential campaign.

After all, for political journalists, a Palin bid would be manna from heaven: drama, personality, ideological debate, cultural warfare, and a flood of website traffic.

Palin's political action committee had raised nearly a million George Washingtons (that is, $865,815) in the second quarter of this year. She had not-too-generously devoted only $87,500 to donations to GOP candidates.

Instead, she used most of her money to cover her travel and the PAC's other costs. But at June's end, she had about $1 million left in the bank.

Actually, this is not a large amount in terms of national politics -- real players on both sides of the aisle are trying to raise tens of millions of dollars to affect the congressional elections -- but it did provide pundits to consider a Palin presidential campaign.

The Guardian declared her mighty war chest suggested "gathering momentum for a run at the White House in 2012." The New York Daily News noted her PAC filings hint Palin "may be prepping 2012 campaign."

Reuters reported her fundraising was "fueling speculation the former vice presidential nominee could be readying a 2012 White House bid."

Notice the use of the conditional. That's because no one knows what she's going to do, perhaps not even Palin herself.

It's easier to envision Palin having already decided against a run than it is to picture her at this time resolving to go for it. Can a politician who quit her job as Alaska governor and who polls so poorly seriously view herself as White House material? Oh, maybe so. Throughout U.S. history, pols with no shot at winning the presidency have been unable to resist this temptation. There's no telling how Palin assesses herself and her odds.

Rightardia comment: Rightardia would love for Palin-Pie to run. it would activate the Democratic base who consider Palin-Pie to be George W. Bush in a skirt. However, she is unlikely to capture the GOP nomination.


It is likely the GOP 'good old boys club' would be rightfully threatened by her. Palin-pie is not a team player and she has a history of alienating her staff because of her narcissistic personality. 

We suspect Palin-pie  would be a disruptive force in 2012 presidential election. Republican insiders simply will not want to work with her.
 
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