UA-9726592-1

Saturday, December 26, 2009

CNN gives the edge to Congressional Democrats

Neither Nancy Pelosi nor Harry Reid nor Congress polls well, but elections are zero-sum and this strikes me as an important result:




gopisbad

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Wednesday indicates that a bare majority of Americans, 51 percent, believe that the Democrats’ policies are good for the country, with 46 percent saying that those policies would take the country in the wrong direction.

By contrast, 53 percent of people questioned in the poll say that the GOP’s polices would move the nation in the wrong direction, with 42 percent saying Republican policies are good for the country.

It’s hard to see how you can make really big political gains when people think your policies are bad for the country, whereas the other side’s policies are good.

But of course midterms tend to be low-turnout elections, and there’s a real risk of progressive demoralization.

Intrade Predictive markets also supports this conclusion giving the Democrats a 66 per cent probability of keeping control of the US Congress.


 
source: http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/12/people-think-congressional-republicans-policies-are-bad-for-america.php


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