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Showing posts with label John Maynard Keynes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label John Maynard Keynes. Show all posts

Saturday, April 28, 2012

Why is the US beating Europe in GDP?


Far Left Side explains:


And now our Chart of the Day: Real GDP 2003-2012. (The reason the U.S. is doing better than Europe is because we invested in stimulus, while they went austerity. Now thank your president.)

The US used classic Keynesian economic techniques: middle class tax cuts, tax incentives for housing, modest increases to Food stamps (SNAP) and uenmployment insurance  and increased government spending (the stimulus). 

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Friday, June 17, 2011

Who is the real fascist?



This is what Wikipedia says about the Noble prize winning economist, John Maynard Keynes.

John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes CB FBA (1883 – 1946), was a British economist whose ideas have profoundly affected the theory and practice of modern macroeconomics, as well as the economic policies of governments. 


He greatly refined earlier work on the causes of business cycles, and advocated the use of fiscal and monetary measures to mitigate the adverse effects of economic recessions and depressions


His ideas are the basis for the school of thought known as Keynesian economics, as well as its various offshoots . . .


Keynes is widely considered to be one of the founders of modern macroeconomics, and to be the most influential economist of the 20th century.
Andrew Napolitano has done a convincing portrayal of a foaming -mouthed fascist advocating a supply side economic argument. Supply side economics is based upon a spin of Keynesian economic theory.

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Sunday, March 13, 2011

GOP: Don't confuse me with the facts on the economy



The Washington Post
By Lori Montgomery, Monday, February 28, 9:45 AM

A Republican plan to cut the federal budget  this would destroy 700,000 jobs through 2012, according to an independent economic analysis  that will be  released Monday.


The report, by Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi, offers fresh ammunition to Democrats seeking block the Republican plan. The GOP plan would terminate dozens of programs and slash federal appropriations by $61 billion over the next seven months.

Zandi, an architect of the 2009 stimulus package and has advised both political parties. Zandai was an economic advisor to John McCain during the 2008presidnetial elections.

Zandi predicts that the GOP package would reduce economic growth by 0.5 percentage points this year, and by 0.2 percentage points in 2012, resulting in 700,000 fewer jobs by the end of next year.

His report is similar to an analysis last week by the investment bank Goldman Sachs.  It predicted that the Republican spending cuts would cause even greater damage to the economy, slowing growth by as much as 2 percentage points in the second and third quarters of this year.

Republicans have dismissed both reports, calling them the product of the same flawed economic thinking that produced President Obama’s $814 billion stimulus package . . .


Rightardia is not aware of any macroeconomic theory that suggests governments should cut spending during an economic crises. 

That is what a business would do, not what a government does according to Keynesian economics, which is a widely embraced macroeconomic theory.


Are the Republican trying to stall the recovery for political gain in 2012? Or are thy just too pigheaded to see the "forest thorough the tress?"


Be aware that the two studies are from private enterprise, not the Government Accounting Office or the Congressional Budget office.

source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/gop-spending-plan-would-cost-700000-jobs-new-report-says/2011/02/28/ABBK9oJ_story.html


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Tuesday, July 27, 2010

The economics of Ludwig von Mises

Ludwig Heinrich Edler von Mises was an Austrian economist, philosopher, author and classical liberal who had a significant influence on the modern free-market libertarian movement and the Austrian School.

Economist and political theorist F. A. Hayek first came to know Mises while working as Mises' subordinate at a government office dealing with Austria's post-World War I debt.

Hayek wrote:

there I came to know him mainly as a tremendously efficient executive, the kind of man who, as was said of John Stuart Mill, because he does a normal day's work in two hours, always has a clear desk and time to talk about anything. I came to know him as one of the best educated and informed men I have ever known...


It was Hayek's development of Mises' innovative theoretical work on the business cycle which later earned him the Nobel Prize in economics.

In 1934, Mises left Austria for Geneva, Switzerland, where he was a professor at the Graduate Institute of International Studies until 1940. Fearing the prospect of Germany taking control over Switzerland, in 1940 Mises with other Jewish refugees left Europe and emigrated to New York City. There he became a visiting professor at New York University, from 1945 until his retirement in 1969, though he was not salaried by the university.

Mises wrote and lectured extensively on behalf of classical liberalism and is seen as one of the leaders of the Austrian School of economics. Many of his works, including Human Action, were on two related economic themes:
  1. monetary economics and inflation;
  2. the differences between government controlled economies and free trade.
Mises argued that money is demanded for its usefulness in purchasing other goods, rather than for its own sake and that any unsound credit expansion causes business cycles.

His other notable contribution was his argument that socialism must fail economically because of the economic calculation problem – the impossibility of a socialist government being able to make the economic calculations required to organize a complex economy.

Mises projected that without a market economy there would be no functional price system, which he held essential for achieving rational and efficient allocation of capital goods to their most productive uses.

Socialism would fail as demand cannot be known without prices, according to Mises. Mises' criticism of socialist paths of economic development is well-known, such as in his 1922 work Socialism: An Economic and Sociological Analysis:
The only certain fact about Russian affairs under the Soviet regime with regard to which all people agree is: that the standard of living of the Russian masses is much lower than that of the masses in the country which is universally considered as the paragon of capitalism, the United States of America. If we were to regard the Soviet regime as an experiment, we would have to say that the experiment has clearly demonstrated the superiority of capitalism and the inferiority of socialism.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Keynesian economics trumps Supply Side

Sept. 24, 2009

Rightardia comment: Hyman Minsky is another economist who is also 'hot' at this time. Hyman Minsky was one of those amazing men who didn't buy into convention and peered into the dark corners of capitalism such as poverty. He predicted the Great Depression could happen again.

"A contrarian amid the conformity of postwar America, an expert in the then-unfashionable subfields of finance and crisis, Minsky was one economist who saw what was coming. He predicted, decades ago, almost exactly the kind of meltdown that recently hammered the global economy."

The big loser is Supply-side economics that is a school of macroeconomicincome tax and capital gains tax rates, thus allowing for greater flexibility by reducing regulation. Consumers will then benefit from a greater supply of goods and services at lower prices. thought that argues that economic growth can be most effectively created using incentives for people to produce (supply) goods and services, such as adjusting tax rates.

A study by Moody's Economy.com also proved that programs that direct aid families like food stamps and unemployment insurance were more stimulative than tax cuts. Cuts in the income tax, corporate tax rates and capital gains, GOP favorties, are the basis of Supply-side economics.


Republicans use this theory to justify selective tax cuts for the affluent. Republican politicians believe this top down approach to economics will stimulate the economy. Supply-side economic were a spectacular failure during the Bush administration and also during the Reagan era. Reaganomics fractured the middle class.


Other critiques of supply-side economics dismiss the entire project as a Trojan horse for reducing marginal tax rates on upper income brackets. These critiques are found in Samuel Bowles' work, which argues that real productivity fell under supply-side taxation regimes on a unit-worker basis.

Nobel laureate economist Paul Krugman of Princeton called supply-side economics "Peddling Prosperity" and dismissed it as being unworthy of serious economists in a 1994 book written for the general audience. 




The sudden present-day prominence of John Maynard Keynes, an economist who passed away 60 years ago and whose theories have been mercilessly ridiculed by conservatives for at least three decades, calls to mind the famous 1981 Rolling Stone magazine cover story on the Doors' Jim Morrison: "He's Hot, He's Sexy, and He's Dead."

We've witnessed quite the turnaround. From at least the 1970s on, Keynes' star was in eclipse, while Milton Friedman and the free market theorists of the Chicago School of Economics seized the commanding heights of economic discourse. To even mention Keynes was to be dismissed as hopelessly out of touch with state-of-the-art theory. Hadn't you heard? The government governs best when it governs least!

But global economic crises that obliterate the notion that markets are intrinsically self-correcting and efficient have a way of shaking things up. As the University of Chicago's Robert Lucas (who most explicitly does not fall in the pro-Keynes camp) said last October, "Well I guess everyone is a Keynesian in a foxhole ..." Meaning, basically: When shit happens, people want help.

Since Keynes is the most illustrious proponent of the idea that government should help get economies back on track when they ride off the rails, his reputation is on the serious upswing.

Few people are better situated to comment or explain Keynes' current fashionableness than Lord Robert Skidelsky, author of the newly published "Keynes: The Return of the Master" -- which comes complete with the possibly overdone sub-headline: "Why, Sixty Years After His Death, John Maynard Keynes is the Most Important Economic Thinker for America."

See the rest of the story at Salon.com

See the rightardia article on Hyman Minsky http://rightardia.blogspot.com/2009/09/quote-of-month_20.html



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