Mitt Romney was on the Morning Joe today and he reminds me of a B actor who is trying out for an audition and really wants the job. Romney talks too fast.
Is he nervous or does he think "fast talking" benefits him somehow? He needs to slow down.
Romney did not think the first two or three races are that important and that he claims he doesn't have to win in New Hampshire. He is a convincing liar.
Actually the early races are important form a psychology perspective. Many voters associate the candidates who win the early primaries as the front runners. According to Science Daily study the early primaries have about 5 times the impact of the later primaries.
The GOP caucuses and primaries are modeled after the Democratic in that it is not winner take all. The delegates will be split among the winning candidates.
Michel Medved thinks this could lead to a brokered candidate at the Tampa Republican National Convention such as Chris Christie or Jeb Bush because none of the candidates would have enough delegates to win.
Rightardia would expect Rick Santorum to drop out after the Iowa caucus. Michele Bachmann has always had the delusion she will be president so she will probably stay in the race for a while.
Rightardia has no idea on what Rick Perry's plans are. We don't think he will ever get the nomination. He lacks the gray matter to be a president. Karl Rove is right about Perry.
One of the SuperPACs supporting Romney will drop $700,000 in Iowa ads and Newt has few feet on the ground in Iowa and only a $21,000 ad budget. Newt will probably hang in until the SC primary, hoping southern home boys will buoy his candidacy.
It is clear that the Establishment Republicans prefer Mitt to Newt. Newt just has too many skeletons and some fresh bodies in his closet.
Ron Paul is doing well and Rightardia expects the country club Republicans that support Mitt are not happy about it. Watch for a Gingrich style backlash against Paul once Newt's candidacy fades.
The GOP must treat Paul with respect or he will take his substantial financial marbles and mount a third party movement. Paul could pull 16 per cent of the voters according to IBOPE/Zogby. This would split the GOP into two. There simply wouldn't be enough establishment Republicans, Tea Partiers and independents left for the GOP to win.
The smart thing for the GOP to do would be to offer Paul the vice president slot. Paul has said he would not accept it, but many candidates have said that before early in the primary season. But Paul is not a flip-flopper eiterh.
Subscribe to the Rightardia feed: http://feeds.feedburner.com/blogspot/UFPYA
Rightardia by Rightard Whitey of Rightardia is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License.
Permissions beyond the scope of this license may be available at rightardia@gmail.com.
No comments:
Post a Comment