by Laura Clawson
Thu Jan 14, 2010 at 01:25:25 PM PST
Research 2000 for Blue Mass Group. 1/12-13. Likely voters. MOE 4%.
Martha Coakley (D) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 41%
A look at Pollster.com shows significant consistency in Coakley's numbers -- over the past 10 days polls have put her between 47% and 53%, and this is obviously no exception. Brown's numbers have bounced around more, from 36% to 48%, with the last two public (as opposed to internal) polls putting him at the top of that range. Hopefully this will be the first of a string of polls in which Brown's numbers return to earth.
At Blue Mass Group, David points out that
Source: Daily KOS
Martha Coakley (D) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 41%
A look at Pollster.com shows significant consistency in Coakley's numbers -- over the past 10 days polls have put her between 47% and 53%, and this is obviously no exception. Brown's numbers have bounced around more, from 36% to 48%, with the last two public (as opposed to internal) polls putting him at the top of that range. Hopefully this will be the first of a string of polls in which Brown's numbers return to earth.
At Blue Mass Group, David points out that
Particularly interesting in these numbers is the breakdown of unenrolled (independent) voters. Brown is ahead in that group 49-36; significant, to be sure, but not the overwhelming advantage suggested in the Rasmussen (71-23) and PPP (63-31) polls that came out recently.Intrade Predictive Markets also has its money on Coakley. They give her a 79 per cent probability of winning.
Source: Daily KOS
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